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New Post 3/6/2008 5:00 PM
  switters
313 posts
3rd Level Poster




Texas&Things 
First of all, Clinton hasn't won in Texas, yet. They haven't finished counting the caucus votes and won't be finished, as I understand it, until the end of the month. Also as I understand it, they've finished counting 40% of the caucus votes, and Obama is leading something like 53% to 47%. -Ish. So most folks who follow such things are projecting that Obama will win Texas.

Veep? Broken record here. I'll be surprised, if Obama gets the nom, if he even offers Clinton the VP position. Because I think by the time there actually is a Democratic presidential candidate, they'll hate each other even more than they're pretending to right now. And I'll be even more surprised, if Clinton gets the nom, if she offers Obama the VP position, which she will, if Obama accepts. He strikes me a thoroughly "independent" of The Clintons.

I.e., This "Dream Team" ticket everybody's yammering on and on and on and on and on about? Aint' gonna happen. Yes, it's a shame. But every which way you look at it, whether it be Clinton/Obama or Obama/Clinton, it may be an unbeatable "Wonder Twin powers activate" dynamic duo, but as unbeatable as it is, it's even more untenable.

Also, broken record. Watching someone from Canada who's extremely Canadian interact with Americans on the various&sundry political nuances of American political maneuvering is a lot like listening to someone try to explain to someone else who's just put ketchup on a hotdog why putting ketchup on a hotdog is without exception no matter what practically immoral. It's noble to try, but they'll never be able to make any headway because they have no idea why a person would even consider putting ketchup on a hot dog in the first place. I.e., by the time they're done with the whole ketchup/hot dog fiasco, they've been reduced to talking about the "uncaused causer" or some such bullcrap, and he's already finished his defiled wiener, and you're left to your soggy bun and a bottle of gourmet spicy brown mustard. Nobody wins these things because those demons "from the north" are constantly trying to get us "real" North Americans to swing at a pitch in the dirt.

And finally: PATRICK SWAYZE HAS ONLY 4 WEEKS TO LIVE! FIRE UP YOUR DIRECTOR'S CUT EXTENDED VERSION OF DIRTY DANCING AND PREPARE TO BALL YOUR FACE RIGHT OFF!!!

P.S. I think Patton Oswalt's description of Cirque du Soleil is an equally apt take on the opening singing montage of Idol's elimination episodes: "What a gay French dude thinks up when he's tired and horny." So I'm going to watch the 1-hour Office rerun.
 
New Post 3/6/2008 7:26 PM
  The Quiet Man
369 posts
3rd Level Poster


ketchup on hot dogs 

They said it was over and she should drop out and her strategy was fucked up.  They said he was an unstoppable hurricane.  They were wrong.  If you see that as Canadian vs. American, that's sincerely weird.  Somebody did win this thing (regardless of the eventual outcome), but it's unsurprising that someone (read: you, but if not you, it would have been someone else) would try and recast it - really that was the only manouevre left, short of saying that what I've been saying is what you've been saying all along.

p.s. doesn't the caucus in Texas only count for 1/3 of the delegates?  He'll win the caucus but has lost the bigger primary.

As for Obama asking Clinton - I can't imagine he'd want her, but it would be hard to go against the clear will of the people here.  She'd be wise to state upfront she's not interested in being a vp.  On the other hand, Obama will feel the pressure to accept the VP role if asked.  Don't see him as having the guts to turn it down.

 

 
New Post 3/6/2008 7:44 PM
  Michael Kenney
394 posts
3rd Level Poster




Re: Texas&Things 

Generally agree.

Big night for Hillary. She kicked his ass in Ohio.She needed to kick his ass in Ohio. She didn't kick his ass in Texas, no matter how those goofy bastards count up their primus secaucus votes. She needed to kick his ass.

Now comes Mississippi and Wyoming. By the time they get to Pennsylvania they'll be back to where they were before Hillary's big night.

Pa. looms large, but it won't swing the delegate count that much even if Hillary sweeps all of the areas Maria talked about, such as suburban Philly. Simple math at this point. Neither is going to make 2025, so barring the unforeseen this thing's going to Denver and the superdelegates.

I don't think Barry wants that second seat. I don't want him to take the second seat. He can do more good someplace else.

That's sad about Swayze. Never good news when the diagnosis involves the word pancreas.

 
New Post 3/6/2008 8:41 PM
  daveto
68 posts
No Ranking


veep schmeep 

honestly, as a dumb fucking canadian can you reference a single fucking article that's suggested single fucking presidential race that's swung on one fucking candidate's incredibly idiotic/brilliant choice of a veep?

veep is nothing. it doesn't matter. get that guy who filled in for the black guy on 24. honestly. it's meaningless. ask me about bush and gore: who's their veep, or where do they keep their stash of porn, you know what i'm choosing. there's a million things more important than who's their veep.

yeah, rough about swayze. glad i got my Roadhouse before the rush.

 
New Post 3/7/2008 3:15 PM
  The Quiet Man
369 posts
3rd Level Poster


veeps can be different this time. 

In the past, there has been limited impact by choice of vp.  VP's sometimes help deliver their particular state.  The selection sometimes brings factions of the party together (which has an indirect impact on results).

But this time - Hillary not offering it to Obama would be disastrous for her chances.  Not sure that's true the other way around.

The Quayle choice is an example of a choice that hurt.  After one term he was viewed as such an idiot that it played a limited role in the fact that Bush sr. was a 1 term president.  Many people thought Bush sr. should have replaced Quayle for the 2nd round.

Nixon and Johnson used the  office of veep to get the presidency.

 
New Post 3/7/2008 9:36 PM
  daveto
68 posts
No Ranking


Re: veeps can be different this time. 

quick thoughts:

the idea that clinton needed quayle to beat bush is a new one to me (and ["read my lips"] most, i suspect).

the idea that hillary, if chosen, would be favoured to win if and only if obama was the ticket (and I get that it would be as much about party healing as governance) ... maybe we'll see.

yes, of course, veeps should carry their state, balance the ticket, draw some cross-over voters, etc, all sort of cancels out doesn't it. was kinda hoping for a surprise, no 1-2-Oscar types here I guess.

so why do you think clinton (hill) sin't pushing for the redos? (rhetorical, answer already provided)

and don't forget Jer (etc, etc)

 
New Post 3/9/2008 7:44 PM
  topazz
100 posts
5th Level Poster




hi daveto 

I've officially become one of the mad deleters myself - but in case you didn't see my reply before I deleted it - I just want to repeat that you have a memory like a steel trap - and just know that there's someone out here who appreciates it.  (anyone else get that washer remark?)

Apropos of nothing:

Image
 
New Post 3/15/2008 7:12 PM
  The Quiet Man
369 posts
3rd Level Poster


the need to rehash stupid, obvious history. 

You can read all you want about Quayle here.

Please note in typical daveto fashion he has, again, completely misinterpreted me on Quayle.  I said he played a small part in the Bush defeat.  I didn't say Clinton needed Quayle to win.  Those statements are miles apart. are miles apart.

"As Bush lagged in the polls in the weeks preceding the August 1992 Republican National Convention, some Republican strategists (led by Secretary of State James Baker III), viewed Quayle as a liability to the ticket and pushed for his replacement."

God that was hard to find.

And again, Clinton pushed for the redos.  She certainly would rather have a redo than not have any representation from the state. 

Obama remains the favourite.  But she'll likely win again in both states.  Ironic that Obama may win the race and do so without winning any major state.  That's really the one ill wind for the Democrats vs. McCain.

 
New Post 3/16/2008 9:40 AM
  daveto
68 posts
No Ranking


you're Quiblit's denny 

wake me when the game is over.

 
New Post 3/16/2008 1:46 PM
  Michael Kenney
394 posts
3rd Level Poster




Re: veeps can be different this time. 

In this case, neither needs the other to help deliver their state. Illinois and New York are going to be blue no matter whom the nominee is.

Nixon tried to use the office of VP to get elected, but Kennedy's debating skill and Dick's sweaty lip trumped any momentum Nixon may have had coming off his term as Ike's VP. By the time '68 rolled around, Nixon's stint as VP was irrelevant.

Johnson used the office of VP to get elected? Not sure if you mean Lyndon or Andrew 100 years earlier, but they both wound up being sworn in as president as the result of the assassination of their bosses.

Perhaps George H Bush might have been a better example for your point.

 
New Post 3/16/2008 5:46 PM
  switters
313 posts
3rd Level Poster




Re: veeps can be different this time. 
i'll just say this:

IF HILLARY GETS THE NOMINATION AND OFFERS BARACK OBAMA THE VICE PRESIDENCY AND HE ACCEPTS, THEN I'M WRITING IN MY CAT!!!???!!!???!!!???!!!???

anybody seen the underline thingie?
 
New Post 3/16/2008 6:18 PM
  Michael Kenney
394 posts
3rd Level Poster




Re: veeps can be different this time. 

Top right corner of the RTE!!

 

Why oh why can't I just fucking ignore her? I'm beginning to worry about me.

 
New Post 3/16/2008 7:21 PM
  The Quiet Man
369 posts
3rd Level Poster


and you're attempting to be Quiblit's 

Adam Morgan.  Not doing a great job of it, mind you, but I give you points for trying.

 
New Post 3/16/2008 7:36 PM
  switters
313 posts
3rd Level Poster




Re: and you're attempting to be Quiblit's 
DAVETO = ADAM MORGAN? I'M NOT SEEING THAT. BUT I'M DUMB (AS YOU'VE GRATEFULLY POINTED OUT FOR ME ON SEVERAL OCCASIONS!?!?!?!?!?!?).

TIGER WOODS IS A GOD. AND I LIKE ALLCAPS!


this trend won't last long, unfortunately (now back to Cold Case)
 
New Post 3/16/2008 8:12 PM
  The Quiet Man
369 posts
3rd Level Poster


well switters, 
Modified By The Quiet Man  on 3/16/2008 10:58:58 PM)

daveto just claimed Im denny (dont know why my apostrophe button isnt working - just getting letters with French accents on them).

Dennys claim to fame was that he was a serial plagiarizer.  If I valued davetos opinion, Id take offence at such a comparison.  Interestingly, such attempts at insult were not uncommon from adam morgan.  If you disagreed with him, especially politically, hed ridicule you with insult rather than argument.  Because some mistook adam for reasonably bright, they tended to ignore such insults to others out of some weird fellow feeling for the guy.

Denny was also well known for arguing against a mistaken interpretation of what you were saying - ironic that Ive accused daveto (again) of just that here.  I said the Quayle factor was a small role in Bush sr.s defeat - daveto responds  that it was news to him that Clinton needed Quayle.  Almost every conversation I have with daveto goes like this.  Ill respond that I didnt say what hes accusing me of - hell respond with an insult.  I respond with a link saying what I said.  He responds with an insult.

Now I really do think that daveto understands the difference between saying the Quayle factor was a small role and saying Clinton needed Quayle.  So Ive got to assume, like adam morgan, hes deliberately putting this out there and relying on your (all who like him here) feeling toward him, and therefore you willingness to ignore both the deliberate misinterpetation of my view and the deliberate attempt at insult as a response.

Now - I may have told you I thought you were dumb, but I dont recall actually spelling that out.  Care to point me in the direction where I said that (apparently cant do question marks either - grrrr).

I dont actually think Ive considered the question as to whether you are dumb or not - I think a bunch of you have said some stupid things in these threads - but nothing of yours that I can recall (which frankly isnt very much, stands out as dumb.)  That doesnt mean I agree with you.  I really dont think any of you are dumb.  I dont think daveto is dumb.  I therefore have to think hes being deliberately misleading.  I dont see another option.

So - I think the adam morgan thing is rather apt.  Glad to see it caught your attention.

 
New Post 3/16/2008 8:37 PM
  switters
313 posts
3rd Level Poster




Re: well switters, 
Of course it caught my attention. The Adam Morgan Affair (chortle!) was my first foray into fraycentria. You may not recall this, but his post-airport car accident post caused the both of us some pause -- it's just that you called him on it first seeing as how the actual post predated my fray time. bacon yelled at me, but you and I had the same reaction, which prompted, if I'm not mistaken, a toppost from you with regard to trust/honesty, which caused schad to doubt anyone's personal trauma posts for at least a year (ref: Mechelle being molested).

Anyways, nothing specific you said on the fray, but until the fray archives are restored (chortle!), I have nothing to offer, other than this: I'd rather be dumb and funny than smart and boring. Note: I'm not saying I'm funny; nor am I saying that you're smart -- just that you're boring.*

*That was a joke, and I think funny -- lighten up. Your veep theories are decidedly... Canadian, near as I can figure. But, as Fritz said nearly 3 years ago, I'm daveto when he's in touch with his inner child. chango can confirm (the faggot bastard!).
 
New Post 3/16/2008 11:56 PM
  The Quiet Man
369 posts
3rd Level Poster


interesting..... 

I'm content being boring.  But I'd rather have fun than be funny - and frankly, I've had fun with these election threads.

Interesting too - I consider myself "lightened up" with you (don't know why the quotation marks are now working); but certainly not with daveto.

For the record stuff - Ele was the first to call Adam on his stuff - chastising him for dating just weeks after the alleged death of his wife and child.  But daveto doesn't yet get the extent of Adam's deception.  He should chat more with his "heart" friends - they've been known to talk and squawk off-fray.

I had had several negative interactions with Adam - which you could say predisposed me to dislike him.  The fact is, I continued conversations with him, simply because his willingness to occasionally be verbally abusive meant nothing to me.  And as I've said before, when I first heard his tragic news, I believed him.  I even top posted a long note to him giving out some personal information perhaps a little more personal than I should have given.  I wrote him out of compassion - the fact that we weren't admirers of each other seemed so particularly meaningless.

The Adam went on about dates, and cousins he wanted to fuck, and the details he told weren't particularly consistent.  Even his discussions of what it was like in his academic department didn't ring true.  Added to this was an insane post about how he thought he had invented a formula for making stock predictions and wanted peoples' opinions.  Our interaction in that thread looked like it would be our last.

Now more for the record stuff - my top post only seemed like it was about truth and honesty.  What it was really about was friendship (at least my version of it good or bad).  I became convinced he was lying.  I remembered Ele's post disbelieving his every word.  But I saw people I considered friends (in some way) responding to Adam, giving heartfelt advice.  It's not uncommon for people to feel attracted to someone who's gone through a tough spell.  Adam's posts were designed to attract attention.  Each post was about how he was now being pursued by attractive women - was it too early to date?  what should he wear? etc.  People were understandibly opening up to him - I felt some were even attracted to him.  I found that abusive.  He was abusing these people.  I didn't want to write a "here's why I don't believe you post".   I didn't want to name the person.  I talked to some others, off-fray, who agreed with me that his story was becoming more obviously bullshit, but we agreed it couldn't be proven, and calling him on it crossed a line.  Then he posted again - I think twice more.  And I had his stupid stock prediction posts.  I saw more emotional, kind responses to him.

Really I wanted him to stop abusing others.  You can lie all you want as long as it's not mocking others.   I couldn't take reading the responses he was getting.  Maybe I'm rationalizing, but it was the responses that killed me.  I didn't want to see people abuse.  It really wasn't about the lying (sure, lying is bad...).

So - just wanted him to stop.  Didn't want to get in a pissing match.  I posted the liar post figuring he'd know it was him, but also thinking he wouldn't dare respond.  Figured some others would clue in.  Saw the possibility he'd be named.  Of course, the thread took a life of it's own when he was one of the first to respond to it.  And then, in spite of wanting to throttle him, I tried to defend myself for not naming him.

At first, people were angry with me, and still wanting to give him the benefit of the doubt.  I backed off.  daveto certainly seemed very sympathetic to Adam.  I think SF1 was taken aback - really his reaction amazed me the most.  I never understood the attraction to Adam, but I was in the minority there.  (I'm gathering ghost wasn't fond of him either.)   But when you see through something you have this built in expectation that most everyone will be able to see through it too.  I was amazed at the resistance to see through him.  A lesson for me.

Gradually, it became the prevailing opinion that at least some of the things he said weren't true.  In fact, almost every personal detail he gave wasn't true, going way before his alleged tragedy.  But that really doesn't matter.  What mattered to me was that his abusive posts stopped.  It really was about (my version of) friendship.  There was fallout from this though.  I basically began taking much more crap from others.  Dawn and I had a permanent falling out over issues relating to this.  I'm not saying it was the right thing to do - I'm only saying I did it out of a sense of having to do something for friends.  And I'd do it again.

The willingness to gloss over things when you like someone (or,  The willingness to be blind to faults when you are fond of the person who has those faults)is reallly an amazing phenomenon.  Funny, but that's been my point with you guys on Obama as well.

 

 

 

 
New Post 3/17/2008 7:54 AM
  daveto
68 posts
No Ranking


tqm .. your dennyness 

is your seemingly artificial/forced contrariness to almost anything that's put up here. Daunt observed once (and with that economy of words he has) that you are "almost aways wrong". You are. Kevin/bacon noted here that your anchor in arguing appears to be your staked out position, ie the need to be right. Perhaps you want (need) to be right and different. (What's the fun in being right if everybody else is right too?) And persistent. That was denny.

Quick comments. I don't ever remember being sympathetic to Adam Morgan. I believe I was the first (or one of) to call him out, way back in his "math professor" days, a post I called "math for dummies". I knew then that he was an liar or exaggerator. Once it became clear that he was either insane or playing a giant joke on the Fray I kinda stayed out of it. It lost interest for me. (Rekindled once when Dawn suggested she knew his real identity.)

Quayle. My request was to name a VP who "swung" an election one way or another. A difference-maker. You threw up Quayle, and said that he had a limited role in Bush losing to Clinton. Now think of the context. Everybody knows Quayle was an idiot. So you're not saying anything if you're saying that he was a goofball. You are saying something if you're saying that he cost Bush an election. I still don't know if your post above was saying that. Is saying that Quayle had a limited role in Bush1 being a one-term only president (you) that different than saying that Quayle cost Bush the election against Clinton (my question)? (all rhetorical, I'll quote Daunt again [loosely!]: I don't think you follow this stuff that closely.)

Not that quick but what can you do.

 
New Post 3/17/2008 8:36 AM
  John McG
284 posts
4th Level Poster




Quayle... 

I don't recall Quayle's reputation going to far one way or another between 1988-1992.  There was the Murphy Brown business, but that was more of a Rorsarch test that made people who didn't like him like him less.

Obviously, Bush managed to get elected with Qualye on the ticket in 1988, and not in 1992, leading to the conclusion that it was mostly due to the names on the top of the ticket.

 
New Post 3/17/2008 9:45 AM
  The Quiet Man
369 posts
3rd Level Poster


daveto you really are thick.